The very same.
I think this isn’t quite right. The Obama/Biden admin likes the gayness but doesn’t like the power. The Trump admin likes the power but doesn’t like the gayness (quite as much, at least, in quite the same way). As Pastor Tim points out, the level of the shrieking could tell you that these are not the same thing.
Well, different times are different. In Carter’s era, Russia was governed by a totalizing, globalist ideology. Now which of the adversaries does “totalizing, globalist ideology” sound like?
Russia is basically destined to be a regional hegemon. Countries that live on her doorstep should seek to have decent relations with her. The only time in the last 300 or so years that Russia has not been a global hegemon is the period from about 1990-2010 when America kicked her repeatedly while she was down. (How did a policy of pure sticks and no carrots work out, in retrospect?) These memories are quite fresh in Russia. So perhaps Russia isn’t the only untrustworthy adversary in the game.
I agree that there is some overlap between Trump’s Russia policy and Obama’s first and second term Russia policy. But there is one key difference: Strength. I think President Trump is likely correct that the Ukraine war would not have occurred on his watch. If it had, I think it’s likely that his early response would have been a lot like the Biden Admin’s: Arm the Ukrainians. The difference would have been that Trump would have done so with an eye to a negotiated settlement with as good a deal as the Ukrainians could have hoped for. Remember that there are credible reports that Russia and Ukraine were close to some sort of deal in the Spring of ‘22 that were scuttled by Boris Johnson, apparently at the behest of the Biden Admin.
This may depend on which war you’re referring to when you say “postwar.” The post-WWII order explicitly included regional hegemony—FDR and Churchill explicitly recognized a sphere of influence for the USSR in Eastern Europe. If you were Poland, that original causus belli? Sorry, not sorry.
And note the composition of the UN Security Council. It’s not just the USA.
The post-Cold War order was always bound to be unstable. We put Russia on her back foot for a couple of decades, but a continental empire like Russia was always going to regress to the mean at some point.
Imagine if the USA had lost the Cold War and the USSR had treated us like this. Maybe Mexico would have snuck into the Warsaw Pact, but we surely weren’t going to just sit there and let Canada join—or maybe a closer analogy, Texas!
Well, perhaps. Both Russia and China seem to have a lot of internal problems that would seem to me pose some limitations on their ambitions. Even the USSR was much weaker than it seemed for most of its post-WWII period.
But while the Uniparty has been fiddling in Ukraine, China has been building influence globally, including well within Monroe Doctrine places like Panama, Greenland and Canada. These seem like much more extreme threats to me personally than which Eastern European kleptocrat governs the Donbas. Squeezing on the balloon in the Donbas seems to have made it swell in other places much closer to where my children live.
Obviously enabling China’s rise over the last 30 years was an own goal from our leaders, but that can’t be undone at this point, only dealt with.